Penalty Analysis for JAR Data: How to Turn Just-About-Right Ratings Into a Fix List
Read Just-About-Right data with mean-drop penalty analysis: collapse the scale, compute the drop and penalty, pick thresholds and avoid common errors.
In shortPenalty analysis links Just-About-Right (JAR) ratings to overall liking. Group people into too little, just about right and too much. For each group, subtract its mean liking from the just-right group's mean. That is the drop. Multiply the drop by the group's share of respondents to get the penalty. Large penalties from large groups are what to fix first.
Contents
- A Liking Score Says Whether, JAR Says What to Change
- What Is a Just-About-Right Question?
- How Is a Penalty Calculated?
- Worked Example: Two Attributes, 200 Respondents
- Which Penalties Should You Act On?
- What Goes Wrong With Penalty Analysis?
- Running This Study on Hercules
- Frequently asked questions
- Related guides
A Liking Score Says Whether, JAR Says What to Change
Overall liking tells you a product scored 6.8. It does not say whether to add sugar, cut salt or soften the crunch. Just-About-Right scales ask about the amount of each attribute, and penalty analysis then ranks the attributes by how much a miss costs in liking.
This guide covers the method as vendors and statistics software document it, a worked example with arithmetic you can verify, how to choose thresholds, and the mistakes that make a penalty chart misleading. The respondent counts are illustrative. For test design, scales and sample sizes, see our product testing survey guide.
What Is a Just-About-Right Question?
A JAR question asks whether an attribute has too little, about the right amount or too much of something, for example sweetness or crispness. It is asked next to an overall liking question, so each respondent gives a direction on each attribute and a liking score for the whole product.
Q Research Software's penalty analysis walkthrough treats the JAR variable as three ordered categories: "Not enough", "Just about right" and "Too much". If your scale has more points, it says to merge them into three (Q Research Software).
Keep one attribute per question. A question that mixes two attributes cannot be turned into a fix.
How Is a Penalty Calculated?
MetricGate's documentation gives the formula as penalty = drop × (% affected / 100), where the drop is the average liking loss for affected consumers and % affected is the share not at JAR (MetricGate). Its calculator page puts it as "the mean drop weighted by the proportion of respondents in that group" and tests each group against the JAR group with a two-sample t-test (MetricGate calculator).
Steps:
- Collapse each JAR scale into three groups.
- Compute mean overall liking for each group.
- Drop = mean liking of the JAR group minus mean liking of the not-right group.
- Penalty = drop × share of all respondents in that group.
- Sum the "too little" and "too much" penalties for an attribute total, as Q's walkthrough does. Q floors negative drops at zero.
Worked Example: Two Attributes, 200 Respondents
All numbers below are illustrative. A snack is tested by 200 people, who rate overall liking on a 9-point scale.
| Attribute and direction | Respondents | Share | Mean liking | Drop | Penalty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweetness: JAR | 124 | 62% | 7.4 | n/a | n/a |
| Sweetness: too little | 36 | 18% | 6.2 | 1.2 | 0.216 |
| Sweetness: too much | 40 | 20% | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.360 |
| Spice: JAR | 138 | 69% | 7.3 | n/a | n/a |
| Spice: too little | 12 | 6% | 7.0 | 0.3 | 0.018 |
| Spice: too much | 50 | 25% | 5.9 | 1.4 | 0.350 |
Sweetness totals 0.216 + 0.360 = 0.576. Spice totals 0.018 + 0.350 = 0.368. The biggest single penalties are sweetness too much (0.360) and spice too much (0.350).
Now pool the not-right groups, as MetricGate's mean-drop page does. For sweetness, the 76 not-right people average (36 × 6.2 + 40 × 5.6) ÷ 76 = 5.88. The drop is 7.4 − 5.88 = 1.52 and the penalty is 1.52 × 0.38 = 0.576, the same total. But the pooled figure hides that sweetness splits in two directions. A fix that adds sweetness would help the 36 and hurt the 40. MetricGate itself warns that pooling "can mask opposite-direction problems".
Which Penalties Should You Act On?
MetricGate's calculator says groups exceeding "roughly 20%" of respondents with a significant penalty flag attributes to fix. Treat that as a heuristic, not a rule. Its mean-drop page adds that rankings shift with the chosen percent-affected and drop thresholds, so you should report the thresholds you used. Decide them before you look at the chart.
In the example, spice too much (25%, drop 1.4) clears a 20% line. Sweetness too much sits exactly on it, so judge it by its significance test and your own risk appetite. Spice too little (6%, 12 people) is too small to read. MetricGate's calculator notes that small groups "produce unstable, non-actionable penalties even if the mean drop looks large".
Plot percent not right on one axis and the penalty (or drop) on the other, as Q does. Attributes at the top right are the ones to worry about.
What Goes Wrong With Penalty Analysis?
- Reading penalties as cause. MetricGate says penalties are descriptive and "do not by themselves establish a causal effect on liking". People who dislike a product often also call it too sweet.
- Ignoring small groups. Always show the base next to the penalty.
- Attributes that overlap. If two JAR items are about related qualities, their penalties partly count the same dissatisfaction. Check how the two items correlate.
- Weighted data. Q's group sizes are weighted, so shares depend on your weighting. See our survey weighting guide.
- Treating a fix list as a recipe. A penalty says which attribute to look at, not how much to change it. Retest the revised product.
Running This Study on Hercules
Poseidon, our analytics engine, lists penalty/JAR among the formulas it selects by question type. Whatever tool you use, ask to see the group sizes, the drops and the thresholds, not only a ranked list.
The Hercules panel is app-based, so it reaches smartphone users only, and a product test that needs physical use needs a way to get the product to people. The Free plan includes 30 responses, which is enough to test the JAR wording on a phone.
Frequently asked questions
What is penalty analysis in JAR testing?
It compares overall liking of people who said an attribute was just about right with liking of people who said it was too little or too much. The drop, weighted by group size, is the penalty.
What is the penalty formula?
Penalty = mean liking of the JAR group minus mean liking of the not-right group, multiplied by the share of respondents in the not-right group.
What is a good threshold for acting on a penalty?
MetricGate's calculator uses roughly 20% of respondents with a significant penalty as a flag. Treat it as a heuristic and report your own thresholds.
Should I pool too little and too much?
Report them separately first. Pooling gives the same total penalty but can hide a problem where half the group wants more and half wants less.
Does a high penalty mean changing the attribute will raise liking?
Not necessarily. Penalties show association. Test the revised product.
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